Thursday, November 17, 2005

Gifford on China

I listened to a public radio news program yesterday where Rob Gifford, a China correspondent for NPR for 6 years, was interviewed. It was a very insightful and thought-provoking show. Here are some of the highlights from the show:

  • Actually, the central Chinese government is keen on addressing problems, especially the younger bureaucrats. The curse of the Chinese civilization, as it has always been, isn't the officials in Beijing, but the local officials. The problem is in the provincial government, they have the tendency to cover up. Furthermore, most of the corruption in government happens at the local level. (Very true).
  • China is still 1-party and can still be a police state if it wants to. But ideologically, communism doesn't exist in China anymore. No one in China believes in communism anymore. Also, the Chinese economic model is clearly a capitalist one. The question is: What is going to replace communism in China? The big thing that seems to be emerging is nationalism.
  • China was the middle kingdom, the most advanced civilization in the ancient times. After the 1700's, they were humiliated by Western powers and Japan. For 150 years, they have been playing catch-up and have been getting it wrong time after time. Now they are hungry, they are close to catching up to the rest of the world.
  • Westerners may say that the Chinese system is a socialist system without true democracy. The Chinese are going to say: so what, call it whatever you want. As long as we are better off now than we were years ago.
  • Here's the paradox of a 1-party state. The 1-party state can push through some terrible policies. But a 1-party state can also push through good economic policies with such vigor and efficiency that multi-party states can't do.

11/17/2005 1:44:37 AM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00) # Comments [6] Politics

11/17/2005 2:27:17 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
It is a common misconception to think that capitalism requires democracy, or that democracy requires capitalism.
11/17/2005 4:05:40 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
Democracy will inevitably emerge from a large middle class. It just happens. Concentrate the wealth in the upper class and you don't have a democracy. More money = more power to change your society.

Also, the idea that any civilization is more advanced than another is completely ethnocentristic. Ask an American, Brit, German, Russian, or French person who invented the computer for example. Basically, humans are smart and will figure out problems that affect their lives. Jared Diamond's books, I think, illustrate this point well. If you're going to compare war machines then you can see how civilizations exercise power over one another, but that doesn't make them great, it makes them scary. When the Germans showed off their "Triumph of the Will" movie/nonsense, the point was to scare the bejesus out of their neighbors with their organized manpower not to show how great they were. As we can easily see now looking back into that past, this German military power did not equal a great civilization, in fact it signaled the downfall of Europe's long tradition of great science/technology since the fascist state scared the bejesus out of most of their scientists/intellectuals in their country and around Europe. They came to the US and as a result, raised the American scientific community up from good to fantastic.

What is interesting is that the population of china BELIEVE that they should be number one (of some cultural/military/ecconomic/technological measure). Now that means a lot. Inspire people to the point that they think it's a given that their civilization will be great and I think it will.

Did you hear the part of the broadcast where the Mr. Gifford was visiting a church in China and the paster didn't show up? He said an 84 year old woman requested for him to do the sermon. That was pretty funny and nicely agrees with an egalitarian ideal common to socialism and supposedly Chritianity.
Analogworm
11/17/2005 9:15:46 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
"Concentrate the wealth in the upper class and you don't have a democracy."

Is this the hidden agenda behing the recent tax breaks for rich a'la Bush? They
deliberately intend to destroy the middle-class in USA and thus be able to
govern in some non-democratic manner. right?
11/18/2005 3:23:59 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
after all these years of listening to public radio, have you YET made a donation Chow, HAVE YOU???!!! www.wbur.org get to it!
11/18/2005 4:25:16 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
Siobhan: Yes, I have.

Matti: Good point on democracy and captialism.

Analogworm: From this week's issue of the Economist: "China may not be another Evil Empire, but it is still a repressive one-party state: can it be changed, or must it merely be made room for? And will what China has termed its "peaceful rise" really be that, or could it become more confrontational?"
11/21/2005 1:25:25 PM (Eastern Standard Time, UTC-05:00)
Cyber, yeah, I wonder about his a lot. My wife is a Chinese American so I'm particularly sensitive to typical whitebread Americans being afraid of China. On the other hand, my wife's family fought the communists in the 40's and 50's so I'm sensitive to that perspective as well. You know, though, I wonder if governmental structure doesn't matter as long as there is a distribution of power (which I relate to money). When the industrial revolution kicked in around the world, you had the conflict in power between the new industrialists upper class and the old money/royalty upper class. As wealth accumulated and information transfer improved, worker's rights started up and some wealth shifted towards the middle of the country. But, I think the manufacturing bosses of the late 1800's early 1900's had their own group of managers and those managers ended up forming the seed of a true middle class. I'm getting to my point. This country had/has some great ideals about individual freedoms, but I wonder if they really only materialize when the individual has enough power in comparison to the rest.
With the ideals of the communist party being that there should be some equality to all workers (I'm not ignorant to the fallacy of this, I'm just stating that they keep this in people's minds) more people with money and an upbringing in that rhetoric will most likely ... believe it and with their money... exercise that belief.
So will China be beligerant or peaceful? It Depends, I think. I have a feeling that with true diplomacy and some economic incentives/disincentives we can avoid conflict between the US & China or China & Europe (or Europe & the US for that matter). It might be a good idea though to park our destroyers around Taiwan from time to time as we have done. Truth is that war profits only the military-industrial complex. Electronics businesspeople will lose a huge amount of income to trade interruption and they will put pressure on the aging ruling elite in China to protect their money. Hardliners in all countries eventually die and new blood comes up again. The key, I hope, is befriending that new blood and pointing to the peaceful prosperity that happens without war. Economically, the economic system of the world... the total sum wealth of the world declines with conflict and improves with peaceful trade. When one satellite & internal guidance controlled cruise missle blows up, that's millions of dollars lost from the world (not just our country), but when a good bridge is built, that's a semi-permanent benefit to all.

Cheers!
Analogworm
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